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Reigning SAG winner Martin Short is on top here, but Seth Rogen is close on his heels — while Short’s longtime partner in crime, Steve Martin, falls just outside the nominations circle.
“This could be the year that ‘Only Murders in the Building’ icon Martin Short beats out two-time winner Jeremy Allen White of ‘The Bear,’ but both are a lock for nominations,” says Tracy Brown, also supporting Adam Brody and the actor named in five of six panelists’ comments, Rogen. Glenn Whipp calls Rogen’s performance by turns “a delight,” “cringe-inducing and hilarious” and “sympathetic — or at least not completely insufferable.”
Lorraine Ali, meanwhile, is all in on Mo Amer of “Mo,” who appears on only one other ballot. But Ali derides the fudging of categories.
“Like beef jerky that’s stocked in the candy aisle, ‘The Bear’ has once again been submitted as a comedy so it won’t have to compete against the comedy ‘White Lotus,’ which was submitted as a drama,” she scoffs. “The jockeying is like an episode of Seth Rogen’s truly funny Hollywood satire, ‘The Studio.’”
1. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
2. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
3. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
4. Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
5. Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
6. Mo Amer, “Mo”
7. Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building”
8. Alan Tudyk, “Resident Alien”
More predictions: Comedy actress | Comedy series

Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. (tie) Mo Amer, “Mo”
1. (tie) Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
3. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
4. Alan Tudyk, “Resident Alien”
5. (tie) Ted Danson, “A Man on the Inside”
5. (tie) Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
“Like beef jerky that’s stocked in the candy aisle, ‘The Bear’ has once again been submitted as a comedy so it won’t have to compete against the comedy ‘White Lotus,’ which was submitted as a drama. The jockeying is like an episode of Seth Rogen’s truly funny Hollywood satire, ‘The Studio.’”

Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
2. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
3. Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
4. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
5. Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
6. Matt Berry, “What We Do in the Shadows”
“I’m pulling for two long shots: David Alan Grier, dry perfection as grumpy Dr. Ron on NBC’s ‘St. Denis Medical,’ and Vince Vaughn, who puts a gentler spin on his rapid-fire wise-guy persona in the Apple TV+ comedy ‘Bad Monkey.’”

Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
2. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
3. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
4. Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
5. Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
6. Nathan Lane, “Mid-Century Modern”
“This could be the year that ‘Only Murders in the Building’ icon Martin Short beats out two-time winner Jeremy Allen White of ‘The Bear,’ but both are a lock for nominations. Among the new shows, ‘The Studio’s’ Seth Rogen and ‘Nobody Wants This’ star Adam Brody likely have the best chance of breaking into a category that’s often filled with returning favorites.”

Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
2. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
3. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
4. Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building”
5. Benito Skinner, “Overcompensating”
6. Mo Amer, “Mo”
“Jeremy Allen White isn’t as powerful in this category as in years prior, and there’s another very frantic performance that may be overtaking him — Seth Rogen in ‘The Studio.’ As far as the win, we also have to include the ‘Only Murders in the Building’ guys, of course.”

TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
2. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
3. Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
4. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
5. Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
6. Ted Danson, “A Man on the Inside”
“The frontrunners are the guy who made you laugh (Martin Short) and the one who made you cringe (Jeremy Allen White). I’d be just as happy with the guy who made you swoon (Adam Brody’s ‘hot rabbi’ in ‘Nobody Wants This’). Seth Rogen’s insecure ‘Studio’ head is also a contender.”

Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
2. Seth Rogen, “The Studio”
3. Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
4. Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
5. Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building”
6. Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
“Watching Seth Rogen’s turn as the driven and desperate movie executive on ‘The Studio’ has been a delight. The character’s neediness and insecurities are cringe-inducing and hilarious, but his love for movies makes him sympathetic — or at least not completely insufferable.”
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