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Cristin Milioti is a consensus No. 1 pick, but the gap isn’t insurmountable, as Michelle Williams is a near-consensus No. 2.
“Cristin Milioti is nothing short of diabolically brilliant as Sofia Falcone,” says Lorraine Ali. Matt Roush says she “scorched the screen,” and Tracy Brown calls her a “shoo-in” for the nomination — adding that she considers Williams a sure bet as well.
Trey Mangum writes of the others, “If ‘Disclaimer’ were a slightly stronger player, I’d say Cate Blanchett could be one of our top picks here — which is why Michelle Williams ranks just a bit higher for ‘Dying for Sex.’”
Glenn Whipp writes of “Dying for Sex’s” seemingly outré premise: “‘Babygirl’ plus terminal illness doesn’t sound promising, but ‘Dying for Sex’ upends cancer tropes left and right and is anchored by a terrific Michelle Williams lead turn. The series is often absurd, but it’s in on the joke. And again: Michelle Williams!”
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
5. (tie) Kaitlyn Dever, “Apple Cider Vinegar”
5. (tie) Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
7. (tie) Julianne Moore, “Sirens”
7. (tie) Viola Davis, “G20”
7. (tie) Ruth Negga, “Presumed Innocent”
7. (tie) Lola Petticrew, “Say Nothing”
More predictions: Limited / TV movie actor | Limited series

Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
5. Julianne Moore, “Sirens”
“Cristin Milioti is nothing short of diabolically brilliant as Sofia Falcone, the daughter of a gangster who emerges as the consummate twisted villain in ‘The Penguin.’ Michelle Williams should also be honored for her portrayal of a terminally ill woman trying to make up for lost time in ‘Dying for Sex.’”

Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
4. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
5. Kaitlyn Dever, “Apple Cider Vinegar”
“Back in the 1980s, Eileen Brennan earned Oscar and Emmy nominations for playing the same character: ‘Private Benjamin’s’ Capt. Doreen Lewis. (Brennan won both the Emmy and Golden Globe for CBS’ TV adaptation.) This year, Renée Zellweger — who earned an Oscar nomination in 2002 for ‘Bridget Jones’s Diary’ — has a chance to do the same, thanks to Peacock.”

Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Rashida Jones, “Black Mirror”
5. Lola Petticrew, “Say Nothing”
“‘The Penguin’s’ feral villain Cristin Milioti has been a shoo-in for this race for quite a while. So is awards darling Michelle Willians, who plays a woman who decides to try to live her sexual life to the fullest after being diagnosed with terminal cancer in ‘Dying for Sex.’”

Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
3. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
4. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
5. Viola Davis, “G20”
“If ‘Disclaimer’ were a slightly stronger player, I’d say Cate Blanchett could be one of our top picks here — which is why Michelle Williams ranks just a bit higher for ‘Dying for Sex.’ But this is still very much Cristin Milioti’s to lose.”

TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
5. Ruth Negga, “Presumed Innocent”
“As ‘Penguin’s’ psycho nemesis, Cristin Milioti literally scorched the screen. Michelle Williams’ bold, raw performance in ‘Dying for Sex’ as a sexually adventurous cancer patient is equally impressive. I’d hate to have to choose. The category is so strong that two-time Oscar winner Cate Blanchett looks like an underdog.”

Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”
2. Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”
3. Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”
4. Renée Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”
5. Kaitlyn Dever, “Apple Cider Vinegar”
“‘Babygirl’ plus terminal illness doesn’t sound promising, but ‘Dying for Sex’ upends cancer tropes left and right and is anchored by a terrific Michelle Williams lead turn. The series is often absurd, but it’s in on the joke. And again: Michelle Williams!”
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