- Share via
This year’s Emmy BuzzMeter balloting is underway, and our panel of six television experts is here to help you sift through who’s in, who’s out and who’s on the bubble. Below, check out the Round 1 results in four crowded races for supporting actor and actress.
More predictions: Drama actor | drama actress | comedy actor | comedy actress
Drama supporting actress
The fierceness of the drama series competition stands out in the race for supporting actress, with Katherine LaNasa of “The Pitt” barely holding on to the top spot (and co-star Taylor Dearden on the bubble).
Trey Mangum says, “Dichen Lachman’s remains one of my favorite ‘Severance’ performances, but I … also live for the rally behind Katherine LaNasa and wish we could fit more from ‘The Pitt’ in here.”
Longtime indie darling Parker Posey edges out longtime Emmy darling Allison Janney (seven career wins) for second, with three other “White Lotus” actresses — Carrie Coon, Natasha Rothwell and Aimee Lou Wood — not far behind. That leaves “Andor” on the outside looking in, though Tracy Brown still holds out hope for Genevieve O’Reilly and her “rousing and relevant” senate speech as Mon Mothma.
1. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
2. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
3. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
4. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
5. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
6. Isabela Merced, “The Last of Us”
7. Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”
8. (tie) Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
8. (tie) Aimee Lou Wood, “The White Lotus”
10. Dichen Lachman, “Severance”
Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
2. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
3. (tie) Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
3. (tie) Christina Ricci, “Yellowjackets”
5. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
6. (tie) Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
6. (tie) Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
6. (tie) Ann Dowd, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
“Parker Posey is one of the best things about ‘White Lotus’ and a respected entity, so expect to see her nominated. Christina Ricci also deserves a shot for her role as the murderous, scheming Misty of ‘Yellowjackets.’”
Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
2. Aimee Lou Wood, “The White Lotus”
3. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
4. Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”
5. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
6. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
7. Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
8. Karen Pittman, “Forever”
“The women of ‘The White Lotus’ will have to fight it out for supremacy here. Before they cast their ballots, though, voters need to check out Karen Pittman’s magnificent performance as a loving and hyper-vigilant mom in ‘Forever,’ Mara Brock Akil’s stellar adaptation of the classic Judy Blume novel.”
Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
2. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
3. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
4. Isabela Merced, “The Last of Us”
5. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
6. Genevieve O’Reilly, “Andor”
7. Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”
8. Dichen Lachman, “Severance”
“I wouldn’t be surprised if half of the nominees in this category end up being from ‘The White Lotus’ but I hope at least one of the slots can be filled by a performance from ‘Andor.’ The show had its share of memorable monologues and Genevieve O’Reilly’s rousing and relevant senate speech is a standout.”
Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
2. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
3. Dichen Lachman, “Severance”
4. Isabela Merced, “The Last of Us”
5. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
6. Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
7. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
8. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
“Dichen Lachman’s remains one of my favorite ‘Severance’ performances, but I can’t help but also live for the rally behind Katherine LaNasa, and wish we could fit more from ‘The Pitt’ in here. For ‘The White Lotus’ women, it’s still unclear whether it’ll be Parker Posey, Carrie Coon, or both.”
TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
2. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
3. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
4. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
5. Isabela Merced, “The Last of Us”
6. Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”
7. Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
8. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
“When a veteran character actress makes the most of the role of a lifetime, which Katherine LaNasa does as ‘The Pitt’s’ supernaturally capable charge nurse Dana, attention must be paid. Parkey Posey’s blowsy Southern mama probably has the best shot from ‘The White Lotus’s’ large cast of scene-stealers.”
Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt”
2. Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”
3. Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”
4. Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”
5. Aimee Lou Wood, “The White Lotus”
6. Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”
7. Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt”
8. Patricia Arquette, “Severance”
“Nominate all the women from ‘The Pitt’? Honestly, I’d be happy for one or two from television’s deepest bench to earn nods while I wait for the cast to win the ensemble honor at next year’s Screen Actors Guild Awards.”
Drama supporting actor
“Severance” and “The White Lotus” dominate this category, with Tramell Tillman closing the gap on “Severance” castmate John Turturro at the top.
“Trammell Tillman keeps the top spot for me, with John Turturro not far behind,” Trey Mangum sums up. “One of them should take it, but there is definitely a world where a ‘White Lotus’ star could upset.”
Can an actor not from “Lotus” or “Severance” win? Tracy Brown acknowledges those shows’ dominance but says, “Here’s hoping there’s room to recognize Young Mazino’s gentle but deadly, loyal friend who will call you out while rescuing you in a war zone in ‘The Last of Us.’”
Matt Roush adds, “I’m hoping the ‘Lotus’ juggernaut (including the ubiquitous Walton Goggins) leaves room for one or two of the young ‘Pitt’ actors to break through.” And Kristen Baldwin writes, “I didn’t love ‘Paradise,’ but voters should recognize James Marsden, who’s a one-man tragicomedy as the hard-drinking President Bradford.”
1. John Turturro, “Severance”
2. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
3. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
4. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
5. Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
8. James Marsden, “Paradise”
9. Christopher Walken, “Severance”
10. Zach Cherry, “Severance”
Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
2. John Turturro, “Severance”
3. Christopher Walken, “Severance”
4. (tie) Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
4. (tie) Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
6. Zach Cherry, “Severance”
7. (tie) Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
7. (tie) Bradley Whitford, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
“If it was up to me, the cast of ‘Severance’ would dominate all drama categories, leaving little room for the others. This category is perhaps the closest I’ll get to living that dream if Tramell Tillman, John Turturro, Christopher Walken and Zach Cherry all make the cut.”
Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. John Turturro, “Severance”
2. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
3. Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
4. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
5. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. James Marsden, “Paradise”
8. Patrick Schwarzenegger, “The White Lotus”
“I didn’t love ‘Paradise,’ but voters should recognize James Marsden, who’s a one-man tragicomedy as the hard-drinking President Bradford.”
Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
2. John Turturro, “Severance”
3. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
4. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
5. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
6. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
7. Zach Cherry, “Severance”
8. Young Mazino, “The Last of Us”
“The majority of the supporting actor nominees are likely going to be from ‘The White Lotus,’ with ‘Severance’ and ‘Slow Horses’ actors claiming whatever slots remain. But here’s hoping there’s room to recognize Young Mazino’s gentle but deadly, loyal friend who will call you out while rescuing you in a war zone in ‘The Last of Us.’”
Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
2. John Turturro, “Severance”
3. Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
4. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
5. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
6. James Marsden, “Paradise”
7. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
8. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
“Trammell Tillman keeps the top spot for me, with John Turturro not far behind. One of them should take it, but there is definitely a world where a ‘White Lotus’ star could upset, with Jason Isaacs, Walton Goggins and Sam Rockwell all looking good to make it in.”
TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
2. John Turturro, “Severance”
3. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
4. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
5. Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
6. James Marsden, “Paradise”
7. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
8. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
“John Turturro broke our hearts as the exiled ‘innie’ from ‘Severance,’ and Jason Isaacs was a revelation as the drugged-out, depressive dad in ‘The White Lotus.’ I’m hoping the ‘Lotus’ juggernaut (including the ubiquitous Walton Goggins) leaves room for one or two of the young ‘Pitt’ actors to break through.”
Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. John Turturro, “Severance”
2. Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”
3. Tramell Tillman, “Severance”
4. Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”
5. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
6. Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”
7. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
8. Patrick Schwarzenegger, “The White Lotus”
“You give it to John Turturro because he’s so damn good on ‘Severance’ and also because, try as I might, I can’t shake the image of the unsettling Irving watermelon head that the good people of Lumon carved in the character’s honor for his office funeral.”
Comedy supporting actress
Hannah Einbinder has a commanding lead here, with “Abbott’s” thrice-nominated Janelle James, who has never won, edging out co-star Sheryl Lee Ralph.
Reigning champ Liza Colón-Zayas is tied with Ralph for third, but panelists wonder if the perception that she won last year for this year’s eligible season (“The Bear” Season 3) could cloud her chances, now that her standout work in Season 3, especially in a flashback origin episode, is actually eligible: “Should she win again? I won’t argue,” says Glenn Whipp. “It’s a great episode!”
Ego Nwodim is the only “SNL” performer on the list, mainly for her viral “Miss Eggy” bit. “Nwodim was on fire this season. (Miss Eggy don’t play!),” says Kristen Baldwin. “But how is it possible that Heidi Gardner, another indispensable ‘SNL’ utility player, has never been nominated for an Emmy?”
Meanwhile, Matt Roush voices the sentiments of multiple panelists: “Fingers crossed that ‘Mid-Century Modern’s’ Linda Lavin gets a posthumous nod.”
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
3. (tie) Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
3. (tie) Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
5. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
6. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
7. Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
8. Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
9. Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building”
10. Ego Nwodim, “Saturday Night Live”
Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
3. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
4. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
5. (tie) Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
5. (tie) Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
7. (tie) Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
7. (tie) Eva Longoria, “Only Murders in the Building”
“Hannah Einbinder should be a top nominee unless ‘Hacks’ pulls a ‘Bear’ move and decides it’s a cartoon and needs to be moved to an animation category so it doesn’t have to compete against ‘Abbott’ or a powerhouse like Janelle James. Also watch for ‘The Studio’s’ Kathryn Hahn and Catherine O’Hara.”
Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
3. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
4. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
5. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
6. Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building”
7. Ego Nwodim, “Saturday Night Live”
8. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
“‘SNL’s’ Ego Nwodim was on fire this season. (Miss Eggy don’t play!) But how is it possible that Heidi Gardner, another indispensable ‘SNL’ utility player, has never been nominated for an Emmy?”
Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
3. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
4. Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
5. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
6. Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
7. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
8. Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
“I might just have an affinity for Kathryn Hahn’s brand of extra, but her turn as the whirlwind marketing executive on ‘The Studio’ deserves to break into this perpetually competitive category, along with her co-star Catherine O’Hara. Among the likely returning nominees, I’m giving the edge to Hannah Einbinder of the other comedy about Hollywood, ‘Hacks.’”
Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
3. Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
4. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
5. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
6. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
7. Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
8. Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
“Hannah Einbinder’s time has finally come, or so it seems. This is another category where only a few are truly contending, with our ‘Abbott Elementary’ and ‘The Bear’ faves in the mix. Also, it’s looking more and more likely that Linda Lavin will get a posthumous nod.”
TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
3. Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
4. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
5. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
6. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
7. Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
8. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
“Could this finally be Hannah Einbinder’s year to take home the Emmy as the long-suffering comedy writer on ‘Hacks’? (‘The Bear’s’ Liza Colón-Zayas won last year, presumably for her stellar performance during the season currently in contention.) Fingers crossed that ‘Mid-Century Modern’s’ Linda Lavin gets a posthumous nod.”
Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
2. Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear”
3. Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”
4. Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”
5. Jessica Williams, “Shrinking”
6. Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”
7. Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio”
8. Linda Lavin, “Mid-Century Modern”
“Liza Colón-Zayas won this Emmy last year for the second season of ‘The Bear,’ probably in large part because voters had watched her Season 3 showcase episode while they were casting their ballots. Should she win again? I won’t argue. It’s a great episode!”
Comedy supporting actor
The panel seems to think voters will suddenly remember Season 3 of the “The Bear” despite premiering nearly a year ago now, dropping reigning champ Ebon Moss-Bachrach into the top spot ahead of “Abbott’s” Tyler James Williams.
“If we’re solely looking at buzz, Paul W. Downs of ‘Hacks’ is the hottest name at the moment,” says Trey Mangum. “Still, Tyler James Williams is probably stronger than he’s ever been.”
Tracy Brown says, “Harrison Ford is due for his very first Emmy nomination for his turn as a gruff yet vulnerable therapist in ‘Shrinking.’ Michael Urie is also a standout on the show that deserves a nod.”
Meanwhile, Matt Roush voices several panelists’ fondness for one of Ford’s redoubtable castmates – though he didn’t make the Round 2 list: “I know it’s too much to ask for the voters to acknowledge … the invaluable Ted McGinley.”
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
2. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
3. (tie) Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
3. (tie) Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
5. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
6. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
7. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
8. Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons”
9. Lionel Boyce, “The Bear”
10. Brett Goldstein, “Shrinking”
Los Angeles Times
Lorraine Ali
1. (tie) Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
1. (tie) Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
1. (tie) Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
4. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
5. Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons”
6. (tie) Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
6. (tie) Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
8. Kenan Thompson, “Saturday Night Live”
“Paul W. Downs of ‘Hacks’ should be nominated as well as Colman Domingo of ‘The Four Seasons’ and Bowen Yang of ‘SNL.’ But will they be? Probably not, because the academy always finds a way to snub the talent that I love.”
Entertainment Weekly
Kristen Baldwin
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
2. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
3. Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
4. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
5. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
6. Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
7. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
8. Marcello Hernández, “Saturday Night Live”
“Of all the deserving contenders from ‘Shrinking’ (a list that also includes Damon Wayans Jr., who joined the cast in Season 2), I’d love to see Ted McGinley get recognized for his laid-back brilliance as Derek.”
Los Angeles Times
Tracy Brown
1. Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
2. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
3. Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
4. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
5. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
6. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
7. Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons”
8. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
“This race is packed with returning favorites, including back-to-back winner Ebon Moss-Bachrach of ‘The Bear.’ But I think Harrison Ford is due for his very first Emmy nomination for his turn as a gruff yet vulnerable therapist in ‘Shrinking.’ Michael Urie is also a standout on the show that deserves a nod.”
Shadow and Act
Trey Mangum
1. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
2. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
3. Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
4. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
5. Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons”
6. Lionel Boyce, “The Bear”
7. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
8. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
“If we’re solely looking at buzz, Paul W. Downs of ‘Hacks’ is the hottest name at the moment. Still, Tyler James Williams is probably stronger than he’s ever been in ‘Abbott Elementary,’ so it will truly be a showdown. And that’s not even including if Harrison Ford crashes the party.”
TV Guide
Matt Roush
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
2. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
3. Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
4. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
5. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
6. Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
7. Brett Goldstein, “Shrinking”
8. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
“Subtlety rarely wins awards, but Harrison Ford’s masterful underplaying as ‘Shrinking’s’ grouchy shrink could prove me wrong. Lots of strong picks. (I know it’s too much to ask for the voters to acknowledge his co-star, the invaluable Ted McGinley.) ‘The Studio’s’ Ike Barinholtz injects new blood into the race.”
Los Angeles Times
Glenn Whipp
1. Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”
2. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
3. Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”
4. Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
5. Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
6. Michael Urie, “Shrinking”
7. Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons”
8. Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”
“Maybe it’s time that Tyler James Williams wins an Emmy. The Season 4 finale of ‘Abbott Elementary’ makes a strong case for him, as we watch Gregory see his father in a different light — and do a spot-on impression of Janine. Beautiful, uplifting, funny.”
Sign up for The Envelope
Get exclusive awards season news, in-depth interviews and columnist Glenn Whipp’s must-read analysis straight to your inbox.
You may occasionally receive promotional content from the Los Angeles Times.
