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Missile kills 2 on Polish territory; Biden says ‘unlikely’ it was fired from Russia

Russia struck targets across Ukraine, causing widespread blackouts, and missiles suspected to be Russian-made crossed into NATO member Poland, killing two.

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Poland said Wednesday that it was a Russian-made missile that fell in the country’s east, killing two people, though President Biden said it was “unlikely” it was fired from Russia.

The blast on Tuesday, which Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky decried as “a very significant escalation,” prompted Biden to call an emergency meeting of Group of 7 and NATO leaders. A deliberate, hostile attack on NATO member Poland could trigger a collective military response by the alliance.

But key questions about the circumstances of the missile launch — none larger than who fired it — remained amid the confusion caused by a blistering series of Russian airstrikes across the border in Ukraine. Russia denied any involvement in the Poland blast.

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Three U.S. officials said preliminary assessments suggested the missile was fired by Ukrainian forces at an incoming Russian one amid the crushing salvo against Ukraine’s electrical infrastructure Tuesday. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter publicly.

That assessment and Biden’s comments at the Group of 20 summit in Indonesia contradict information earlier Tuesday from a senior U.S. intelligence official who told the AP that Russian missiles had crossed into Poland.

The Polish government said it was investigating and raising its level of military preparedness. Biden pledged support for Poland’s investigation.

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A statement from the Polish Foreign Ministry identified the weapon as being made in Russia. President Andrzej Duda was more cautious, saying that it was “most probably” Russian-made but that its origins were still being verified.

“We are acting with calm,” Duda said. “This is a difficult situation.”

Ukraine, a former Soviet republic, still maintains stocks of Soviet- and Russian-made weaponry, including the S-300 air-defense missile system.

Biden’s decision to convene the emergency meeting upended schedules for the final day of the Group of 20 meeting in Indonesia.

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European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said participants there discussed the blast in Poland and expressed their continued solidarity with Ukraine.

“We offer our full support to Poland and assistance with the ongoing investigation. We will remain in close contacts with our partners on the next steps. We will stand with Ukraine as long as it takes,” she said.

Biden, who was awakened overnight by staff with the news of the missile while attending the summit, called Duda to express his condolences. On Twitter, Biden promised “full U.S support for and assistance with Poland’s investigation,” and reaffirmed “the United States’ ironclad commitment to NATO.”

Meanwhile, North Atlantic Treaty Organization Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg called the meeting of the alliance’s envoys in Brussels. The U.N. Security Council also planned to meet Wednesday for a previously scheduled briefing on the situation in Ukraine.

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Poland’s statement did not address whether the strike could have been a targeting error or if the missile may have been knocked off course by Ukrainian defenses.

In their statements, Poland and NATO used language that suggested they were not treating the missile blast as an intentional Russian attack, at least for now. A NATO statement called it a “tragic incident.”

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If Russia had deliberately targeted Poland, it would risk drawing the 30-nation alliance into the conflict at a time when it is already struggling to fend off Ukrainian forces.

Polish media reported that the strike took place in an area where grain was drying in Przewodow, a village near the border with Ukraine.

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CIA Director William Burns was in Kyiv on Tuesday during the barrage of Russian missiles that struck dozens of targets in Ukraine. He remained in the U.S. Embassy in the capital during the strikes.

Burns briefed Zelensky and other Ukrainian officials on his meeting in Turkey with the head of Russia’s foreign intelligence service, according to another U.S. official who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters.

Burns told Ukrainian officials that he had delivered a U.S. warning to Russia not to use nuclear weapons, the U.S. official said.

The Russian Defense Ministry denied being behind “any strikes on targets near the Ukrainian-Polish border” and said in a statement that photos of purported damage “have nothing to do” with Russian weapons.

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Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau summoned the Russian ambassador and “demanded immediate detailed explanations,” the government said.

The strike came to light Tuesday as Russia pounded Ukraine’s energy facilities with its biggest barrage of missiles yet, striking targets across the country and causing widespread blackouts.

Neighboring Moldova was also affected. It reported massive power outages after the strikes knocked out a key power line, an official said.

The missile strikes plunged much of Ukraine into darkness and drew defiance from Zelensky, who shook his fist and declared: “We will survive everything.”

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In his nightly address, the Ukrainian leader said the strike in Poland offered proof that “terror is not limited by our state borders.”

Russia fired more than 90 missiles and more than 10 attack drones at Ukraine on Tuesday, Ukraine’s General Staff said in its Wednesday morning update. Ukrainian forces shot down 77 missiles and 11 drones, it said.

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Ukrainian Energy Minister German Galushchenko said the attack was “the most massive” bombardment of power facilities in the nearly 9-month-old Russian invasion, striking power generation and transmission systems.

Galushchenko accused Russia of “trying to cause maximum damage to our energy system on the eve of winter.”

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The aerial assault, which resulted in at least one death in a residential building in the capital, Kyiv, followed days of euphoria in Ukraine after one of its biggest military successes — the retaking last week of the southern city of Kherson.

The power grid was already battered by previous attacks that destroyed an estimated 40% of the country’s energy infrastructure.

With its battlefield losses mounting, Russia has increasingly resorted to targeting Ukraine’s power grid, seemingly hoping to turn the approach of winter into a weapon by leaving people in the cold and dark.

In other developments, leaders of most of the world’s economic powers were drawing closer to approval of a declaration strongly denouncing Russia’s invasion.

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On Tuesday, Biden and Zelensky pressed fellow G-20 leaders at the summit in Indonesia for a robust condemnation of Russia’s nuclear threats and food embargoes. More discussion and a possible vote will come Wednesday.

AP writers Seung Min Kim and Zeke Miller in Nusa Dua, Indonesia, contributed to this report.

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