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German far-right party leads exit polls in one state election and is roughly level in another

Bjoern Hoecke speaks in front of a group of people.
Björn Höcke, top candidate of the far-right Alternative for Germany party, or AfD, speaks at a campaign rally in Suhl, Germany, on Aug. 13. In the federal state Thuringia, in former East Germany, the citizens vote for a new state parliament Sunday.
(Markus Schreiber / Associated Press)
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The far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD, was on track to become the strongest party in a state election for the first time Sunday in the country’s east, and was roughly level with mainstream conservatives in a second vote, exit polls showed.

A new party founded by a prominent leftist was also making an immediate impact, while the parties in Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s unpopular national government were set for weak results.

The exit polls for ARD and ZDF public television put support for Alternative for Germany, or AfD, at 30.5% to 33.5% in Thuringia and 31.5% in Saxony. They put the center-right Christian Democratic Union, the main opposition party at national level, at 24.5% in Thuringia and 31.5% to 32% in Saxony.

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A German nationalist group that for many evokes the Nazis may become the first far-right party to come out ahead in a state election since World War II.

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It’s extremely unlikely that any other party will agree to put AfD in power by joining it in a coalition. Even so, its strength is likely to make forming new state governments extremely difficult. The strength of the new Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance, or BSW, which was seen taking up to 16% of the vote in Thuringia and 12% in Saxony, adds another level of complication.

“This is a historic success for us,” Alice Weidel, a national co-leader of AfD, told ARD. She described the result as a “requiem” for Scholz’s coalition.

The CDU’s national general secretary, Carsten Linnemann, said his party will stick to its longstanding refusal to work with AfD. Weidel denounced that as “pure ignorance” and said that “voters want AfD to participate in a a government.”

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Deep discontent with a national government notorious for infighting, anti-immigration sentiment and skepticism toward German military aid for Ukraine are among the factors that have contributed to support for populist parties in the region.

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AfD is at its strongest in the formerly communist east, and the domestic intelligence agency has the party’s branches in both Saxony and Thuringia under official surveillance as “proven right-wing extremist” groups. Its leader in Thuringia, Björn Höcke, has been convicted of knowingly using a Nazi slogan at political events, but is appealing.

Scholz’s center-left Social Democrats at least appeared set to remain in the two state legislatures, despite some election fears that they wouldn’t. But the environmentalist Greens appeared set to lose their seats in Thuringia. The two parties were the junior coalition partners in both outgoing state governments.

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A third state election follows Sept. 22 in another eastern state, Brandenburg, currently led by Scholz’s center-left Social Democrats. Germany’s next national election is due in a little more than a year.

Moulson writes for the Associated Press.

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